Segment
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Time
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- Collect journals
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Finish #1
- Hand out "solve for accuracy rate" derivation.
- Ask, "Is this a definite result, like the
board can now rest assured that at any time over the next n years,
that it will have wrongly punished exactly 1% of the accused when it
bases its decisions on this new test? [That is, where is the probabilistic
situation?]
- Tell them to study this handout and ask questions
tomorrow. (Im assuming they studied yesterdays handout.)
- Quiz (big quiz) on Friday.
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Recap of #2
- Simulate the scenario (again):
- Put students in pairs. One is Michael, the other
is Warden.
- Give each pair of students 3 pieces of paper,
labeled "Michael", "John", and "Quincy".
Have them simulate the scenario assuming Warden picks prisoner
BEFORE Michael asks.
- What is the probabilistic situation? What is the
process that is being repeated?a
- Change the assumptions:
- Have them simulate the scenario assuming
Warden picks prisoner AFTER Michael asks.
- Analyze it using tree diagrams (emphasize importance
of BEING CLEAR ON THE PROCESS AND REFLECTING IT IN YOUR DIAGRAM)
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Pick students for next presentation.
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